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Asteroid May Slam Mars in January

December 22, 2007 / by whereabouts

Asteroid May Slam Mars In January

December 20, 2007

Read all 137 comments ยป

Mars could be in for an asteroid hit.

A newly discovered hunk of space rock has a 1 in 75 chance of slamming into the Red Planet on Jan. 30, scientists said Thursday.

"These odds are extremely unusual. We frequently work with really long odds when we track ... threatening asteroids," said Steve Chesley, an astronomer with the Near Earth Object Program at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

The asteroid, known as 2007 WD5, was discovered in late November and is similar in size to an object that hit remote central Siberia in 1908, unleashing energy equivalent to a 15-megaton nuclear bomb and wiping out 60 million trees.

Scientists tracking the asteroid, currently halfway between Earth and Mars, initially put the odds of impact at 1 in 350 but increased the chances this week. Scientists expect the odds to diminish again early next month after getting new observations of the asteroid's orbit, Chesley said.

"We know that it's going to fly by Mars and most likely going to miss, but there's a possibility of an impact," he said.

If the asteroid does smash into Mars, it will probably hit near the equator close to where the rover Opportunity has been exploring the Martian plains since 2004. The robot is not in danger because it lies outside the impact zone. Speeding at 8 miles a second, a collision would carve a hole the size of the famed Meteor Crater in Arizona.

In 1994, fragments of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 smacked into Jupiter, creating a series of overlapping fireballs in space. Astronomers have yet to witness an asteroid impact with another planet.

"Unlike an Earth impact, we're not afraid, but we're excited," Chesley said.

16 comments on Asteroid May Slam Mars in January

  • lunarhunk said 8 months ago
    Wow....those are strong odds for a hit! It is interesting that you post this because the book I am reading ties in nicely with that, in a freaky way.
    AJ
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    VERY strong odds! Mars is very close to Earth.

    Also, about 14,000 years ago, Mars' was stripped of it's atmosphere and most likely because of a passing comet. That wreaked havoc on Earth. While this is an asteroid, and not a comet (I really don't think there is much difference with exception to all the hot air...from the astrophysicists), it mainly is small and not large like a moon or a planet. if so, I think we would experience something similar to what took place 4,000 years ago. It is believed by some well known scientists that the magnetic field that stripped Mars of it's atmosphere, also flipped Atlantis into the sea.

    Take a look at Planet X when you get the chance. That may very well be what did all the damage back then.
  • ivebeendelphid said 8 months ago
    Cheers[WINK][THUMBUP]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    lol - Cheers! [THUMBUP]
  • payback911 said 8 months ago
    Throughout the 137 comments I heard nothing from a Martian. Haven't they heard of the Internet?
    Is there any chance of changing the asteroid's course to the White House lawn?[LOL][HEART]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    [LOL][LOL][LOL] - The White House Lawn!

    Happy Holidays, my friend! [KISS][HEART][HEART][THUMBUP][HEART][HEART][KISS]
  • Strider333 said 8 months ago
    [THUMBUP][THUMBUP][LOL][LOL][LOL]
  • southwesterngrad said 8 months ago
    Wow! Can you imagine the devastation if the Siberian asteroid had hit somewhere like Paris, London or New York? [OHMY][OHMY]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    I can barely imagine that kind of catastrophic event happening but I know it not only is plausible it is highly likely to happen at some point. [OHMY]

    Merry Christmas, sweetie! [THUMBUP][HEART][HEART][HEART][THUMBUP]
  • southwesterngrad said 8 months ago
    Merry Christmas to you, my friend! And all the best in the coming year.[HEART][HEART][KISS][HEART]
  • ekyprogressive said 8 months ago
    Whoa...[OHMY]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    Double Whoah! [OHMY][OHMY]
  • therealthinker said 8 months ago
    Good time to have a telescope handy[SMILE]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    Yes, that would be great! Merry Christmas or Happy Holidays (which ever applies to you). [HEART][THUMBUP][HEART]
  • dragonflyby said 8 months ago
    Well, these words may not be as exciting as an asteroid impact, but.........
    MERRY CHRISTMAS![HEART][SMILE]
  • whereabouts said 8 months ago
    Awwww..... Thank you!

    MERRY CHRISTMAS!!! [THUMBUP][HEART][HEART][HEART][THUMBUP]

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